In the last decade, the wine market has evolved enormously both in terms of production and distribution. Within the Old World, a quality-driven and native Italy rivals more than ever with the historically dominant France. Spain, Portugal and Austria are also constantly showing their vast potential. These countries are increasingly focusing on their native grape varieties. In fact, these grape varieties are now also being planted more and more widely in the New World wine countries. Climate change also plays a huge role in all this. Native grape varieties are often more resistant to the local climatology. They have a better natural resistance to climate variations, produce more acidity in the region where they are historically anchored and ultimately deliver more elegant and balanced wines.
Climate change and the reduction of CO2 emissions are a major challenge for the wine world, perhaps even bigger than the once disastrous phylloxera plague in the late 19th century. In wine-producing countries, vineyards cover on average less than 10% of the agricultural area, but in some cases represent 25% of pesticide use. The viticulture of the future is one with a vision in which organic farming would only be too simple a summary of the problem. It also makes little sense to measure yourself a clear conscious by planting a hectare of forest for every new hectare of vineyard you create. This is often just window dressing, and most of the time only a plaster for a wooden leg, so to speak. Like we can imitate sugar for our own body and metabolism, we can also give signals to the land and nature so that it responds positively to our presence and the crops we plant.
Respecting the land through, among other things, regenerative and diversifying plantations helps our CO2 footprint further and faster than afforestation compensation or the sometimes-insufficient rules and commercial compromises of the organic standards.
We at European Vineyards Fund do not only focus on the indigenous grape varieties and their natural environment, but we are also socially committed to get the local population fully involved in the regeneration of their land, in regaining their self-esteem and to help them believe in their own natural potential. The reason we initially selected the Iberian Peninsula to start with is no surprise at all. Despite the climate change, Spain and Portugal offer unprecedented opportunities. The fact that large parts of ideal situated land still can be cultivated and sometimes even have to be discovered, means that entering the market and making the necessary investments can still be done at very favourable prices.
It´s not just the wine production which is undergoing an enormous transformation, the historical distribution channels are also being put under pressure and are being forced to reinvent themselves continuously or disappear. The disruption of the traditional wine trade is even worse than 30-40 years ago when supermarket chains started offering wine to their clients. Initially the reactions of the specialist wine trading companies were pitying. However, some of the most established values from father to son ran into problems because of habituation, lack of dynamism and not growing with the changing market standards of customer service. Claiming exclusivities both in terms of product and distribution regions made their world smaller and smaller, up to the point where large-scale distribution has now taken over up to
85% of trade in many countries.
And history repeats itself.
The digital network and the online business would only play an informative role for the wine world. The customer would surely always want to taste. True for a part of the online sales but the major part is sold in three clicks because of the offer being presented super attractive and claims to be a bargain.
Even before covid and the hectic 2020-21 period of lockdowns, it was already clear that wine online would not be a business in the periphery. It’s here to stay and we ain’t seen nothing yet!
Through the various underlying structures of the fund, we have a solid relationship and connection with all distribution channels worldwide and we are on board with retail, discount, specialist retailers and the larger online players. Along with the shifting of wealth, the consumption of wine will also shift. Most markets in the world are already used to the consumption of beer and alcohol. Within alcohol consuming markets appreciating fine wine is a process that often coincides with softening the culture in its prosperity. A few of the largest countries in the world are at that tipping point and, in addition to the already existing Western wine market, will soon become top customers for premium wines.
European Vineyards Fund is very well positioned to take full advantage of this rapidly changing wine culture and to become a key player in this ever-growing market.
Estimates of national consumption levels presented in this chapter should be interpreted cautiously, given the intrinsic limitations of the “apparent consumption” methodology, especially for the numerous countries where data on stocks variations, losses, or industrial uses of wine, are not fully known or assessed. In an extraordinary year like 2020, large differences in consumer behaviors are likely and therefore, the additional difficulty in making estimates must be considered. These variations can be associated to factors such as the lockdown measures, disruption of Horeca8 channel and lack of tourism, and to large differences in demand elasticities in different countries.
At the moment there is a big underproduction of premium wines and an immense global growth potential for the consumption of such premium quality wines.
Facts and Figures
• USA, China and Russia are driving the growth in consumption
• World trade in wine accounts for 106 million hectolitre and 30 billion EUR in value
• Main wine exporters for 2020:
Volume dominated by Italy, Spain and France
France and Italy represent 50% of the exports value
• Main wine importers for 2020
Germany, the UK and USA represent 37% of the world´s import volume, China is currently the 5th largest importer
USA, the UK, Germany, China and Canada represent 50% of the imports value
In 2020 the world area under vines, corresponding to the total surface area planted with vines for all purposes (wine and juices, table grapes and raisins), including young vines not yet in production, is estimated at 7.3 mha
In 2020, once again, the international trade of wine in terms of volume was mainly dominated by the three EU countries - Italy, Spain, and France - that together exported 54.6 mhl, accounting for 52% of the world market. The share in volume of these three countries together, decreased by 1 mhl with respect to 2019, when it was 53%. This relative decrease can be attributed to the large declines in Spain (-6% /2019) and France (-5% / 2019) mainly, while Italy saw a drop of 2% compared to 2019. France, Italy, and Spain are the main exporters in terms of value too, in 2020, with 8.7 bnEUR, 6.2 bnEUR and 2.6 bnEUR respectively. These three countries account for 59% of the total value of wine exported in 2020. However, all the three, France (-10.8%), Spain (-3.4%), and Italy (-2.4%), recorded drop in value of exports compared to 2019. In Italy, Spain and France, BiB was the only category that recorded positive growth rates in both volume (27%, 41%, 13% respectively) and in value (21%, 23%, 7% respectively); while sparkling wine grew negatively compared to 2019, in volume (-2%, -5%, -13% respectively), and in value (with losses of 7%, 14%, 19% respectively)